2026 Oscar Predictions

Who will take home an Oscar in 2026? Check out Script magazine contributor Sonya Alexander’s predictions.

2025 had films for everyone. From horror to franchise favorites to scintillating originals. The year also had a strong international presence, with The Secret Agent, It Was Just An Accident, Sirāt, Sentimental Value, and No Other Choice getting nominations and buzz during Awards Season. Across the board, there were some outstanding performances.

The year was an embarrassment of riches in film offerings and it’s truly a toss-up this year as to who or what could get nominated for some of the categories. Oscars nominations will take place on January 22. Below are some of my predictions for the upcoming Academy Awards nominations and winners.

Best Picture

One Battle After Another

Sinners

The Secret Agent

Train Dreams

It Was Just an Accident

Jay Kelly

Hamnet

Sentimental Value

Frankenstein

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another has fresh characters and an audacious storyline that’s created a roller coaster ride of a film.


Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another

Timothée Chalamet - Marty Supreme

Michael B. Jordan - Sinners

Joel Edgerton - Train Dreams

Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent

The Brazil native gives a magnetic performance of quiet intensity as Marcelo/Armando/Fernando.


Best Actress

Emma Stone - Bugonia

Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Jessie Buckley - Hamnet

Amanda Seyfried - The Testament of Ann Lee

Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value

Jessie Buckley as Agnes is the emotional well of the story and she portrays her with a ferocity and vulnerability.


Best Supporting Actor

Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein

Benecio del Toro - One Battle After Another

Stellan Skarsgård - Sentimental Value

Sean Penn - One Battle After Another

Adam Sandler - Jay Kelly

Sean Penn inhabits his roles and as Steven J. Lockjaw he’s a wildcard monster who’s clueless because of his hubris.


Best Supporting Actress

Amy Madigan - Weapons

Teyana Taylor - One Battle After Another

Odessa A’zion - Marty Supreme

Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan brilliantly rides the fine line between horror and comedy as sorceress Aunt Gladys.


Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler - Sinners

Guillermo del Toro - Frankenstein

Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme

Chloé Zhao - Hamnet

Paul Thomas Anderson has been nominated numerous times so this could finally be his year.


Best International Feature Film

The Secret Agent

Sirāt

It Was Just An Accident

No Other Choice

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent is a unique gem of a film that captures a corrupt era in Brazil’s history that resonates globally even today.


Best Animated Film

Arco

KPop Demon Hunters

Zootopia 2

Ne Zha 2

Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

Ugo Bienvenu’s 2D animated film Arco is a charming futuristic tale that has a heart of gold.


Best Documentary Feature Film

My Undesirable Friends: Part 1 - Last Air in Moscow 

The Perfect Neighbor

Orwell: 2+2=5

Cover-Up

Mr. Scorsese

Raoul Peck’s Orwell: 2+2= 5 presents George Owell’s prescient writings in historical context, creating a searing indictment of government overreach and authoritarianism.


Best Original Screenplay

Sinners - Ryan Coogler

Sentimental Value - Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt

Marty Supreme - Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

The Secret Agent - Kleber Mendonça Filho

Jay Kelly -  Noah Baumbach, Emily Mortimer

Marty Supreme is loosely based on table tennis champion and wheeler dealer Marty Reisman and Josh Safdie and Ronald Bronstein have turned his story into a magnificently fast-paced whirligig of a story about competition, delusion, and discovering what’s really important in life.


Best Adapted Screenplay

Train Dreams - Craig Bentley, Greg Kwedar

One Battle After Another - Paul Thomas Anderson

Hamnet - Maggie O'Farrell, Chloe Zhao

Frankenstein - Guillermo del Toro

No Other Choice - Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Jahyee Lee

The adaptation of Thomas Pynchon’s 1990 novel Vineland is updated to modern times and settings but still magnificently captures the spirit of the book.


Best Original Score

Train Dreams - Bryce Dessner

Sinners - Ludwig Göransson

Sirāt - Kangding Ray

Frankenstein - Alexander Desplat

Wicked: For Good - John Powell, Stephen Schwartz

Ludwig Göransson’s score casts a spell from the first note and gloriously sweeps us through this period drama that has horror, supernatural and corporeal, at its core.


Best Original Song

KPop Demon Hunters - “Golden” -  EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, IDO, 24, Teddy

Sinners - “I Lied to You” - Raphael Saadiq, Ludwig Göransson

Train Dreams - “Train Dreams” - Nick Cave, Bryce Dessner

Wicked: For Good - “No Place Like Home” - Stephen Schwartz

Avatar: Fire & Ash - “Dream As One” - Miley Cyrus, Andrew Wyatt, Mark Ronson, Simon Franglen

Nick Cave and Bryce Dessner’s “Train Dreams” is haunting and mournful, perfectly setting the tone for this tale about changing times and the significance of the everyman.


Best Cinematography

Train Dreams - Adolpho Veloso

Sinners - Autumn Durald Arkapaw

One Battle After Another - Michael Bauman

Frankenstein - Dan Laustsen

Hamnet - Łukasz Żal

Adolpho Veloso’s cinematography masterfully transports us to the natural beauty of a bygone era in the Idaho Panhandle and the Pacific Northwest.


Best Production Design

Sinners

Hamnet

One Battle After Another

Frankenstein

Wicked: For Good

Tamara Deverell palpably conveys the moodiness, danger, and refinement of Dr. Victor Frankenstein and the Monster’s surroundings.


Best Visual Effects

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Superman

Frankenstein

Sinners

Wicket: For Good

Wētā FX team, including Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, and Daniel Barrett, bring the world of Pandora back to life in eye-popping 3D with a phenomenal and unforgettable landscape of colors and special effects.


Best Sound

F1

Sinners

Frankenstein

Mission Impossible: The Final Reckoning

Wicked: For Good

Hans Zimmer and Skywalker Sound have created an ultra-sonic experience, meshing the propulsive sounds of Formula 1 cars with a soaring soundtrack.


Best Costume Design

Hamnet

Frankenstein

Sinners

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

From Victor Frankenstein’s polished shoes to Elizabeth’s pristine gowns, Kate Hawley creates measured authenticity in this gothic realm.


Best Film Editing

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

One Battle After Another

The Secret Agent

Josh Safdie and Ronald Bronstein’s swift and whip smart editing successfully create the organized chaos of Marty’s world.


Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Wicked: For Good

The Smashing Machine

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Hamnet

Sinners 

Sarah Rubano leads a team of various artists, including SFX makeup, hair and makeup, and senior artists, that deliver with supreme craftsmanship the larger-than-life images of the film.


Best Achievement in Casting Casting (New Category)

Sinners

Sentimental Value

One Battle After Another

Marty Supreme

Frankenstein

Casting veteran Francine Maisler has assembled a diverse cast that has amazing chemistry together and phenomenally bring their individual characters to life.

The 2026 Oscars air live on ABC on Sunday, March 15, 2026.

Sonya Alexander started off her career training to be a talent agent. She eventually realized she was meant to be on the creative end and has been writing ever since. As a freelance writer she’s written screenplays, covered film, television, music and video games and done academic writing. She’s also been a script reader for over twenty years. She's a member of the African American Film Critics Association and currently resides in Los Angeles.